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2007 NFL Draft: The 40 Yard Dash
Written by Wendall Stevens   
Sunday, 25 February 2007
       One Mississippi, two Mississippi, three Mississippi, four Mississippi, five Mississippi.In the time it takes to say this, the average NFL prospect at the scouting combine will have completed the de facto measuring stick for determining if they are pro material, the 40-yard dash.  The 40-yard dash is used as an indication of speed and explosiveness, a key in determining athletic success in the NFL.

      In many sports, quickness and explosiveness are important ingredients for athletic prowess.  The NFL when dissected and broken down to its lowest possible denominator is a game of inches and seconds.  While the 40-yard dash doesn't predict absolute success no more so than a 1400 SAT score will predict future work career success, it is simply used as a parameter to measure you against others at your position.  Harvard has standards for entrance and so does the NFL.  A slow time in the 40 could cost a aspiring NFL prospect millions.  (Ex. Maurice Clarett)   During the NFL scouting combine this weekend a good or bad 40 times can mean the difference between a first round selection and a fourth or fifth round scavenger hunt.  The pressure is there because the stakes are high, especially for high profile college players and unknowns alike who are trying to catch the eye of an NFL scout.  College guys get a good dose of reality that this is a business. The NFL stands for NOT FOR LONG.  A great 40 times will definitely get you in the money.

      So serious is the 40 yard dash that aspiring athletes prepare for weeks leading up to the scouting combine by training at well known facilities like Athletes Performance in Arizona.  This is where DeAngelo Hall (Falcons), Ron Bartelle (Rams), and Vernon Davis (49ers) trained to prepare for the combine.

     Why is the 40-yard dash so significant?  The 40-yard dash doesn't predict statistical success in the NFL as much as its a measuring stick to predict your ability to MAKE PLAYS.  Take two college running backs, one runs a 4.6 40 and the other a 4.3 40.  The distance in time is only three tenths but in a foot race the distance could be three to five yards.  This time difference assuming the blocking is average can mean the difference between a 50-yard touchdown burst and a three-yard gain.  LaDanian Tomlinson by the way ran a 4.3 at his combine.  You see how he performs on the field.  He's a classic example of an explosive back that can hit the edge as well as burst between the tackles for long gains.

     Linebackers and edge pass rushers who can run a 4.5 40 will be instant millionaires because they can be used so effectively to cause havoc on opposing offenses and trust me the times are dropping.  If you're a cornerback and run a low 4.5 or 4.6 you may not get drafted, especially if you're from a small school.  You'd better have some size so they can try you at the safety position. Wide receivers had better be tall if they're times aren't up to standard. A three hundred pound defensive lineman now runs 4.8 forties at the combines. That’s scary.

     Lets examine two classic cases, Peter Warrick from the 2000 draft and Vernon Davis from the 2006 draft. Peter Warrick, a Heisman Candidate and All-American wide receiver from Florida State helped his team win the national championship over the Michael Vick led Hokies of Virginia Tech.  Warrick on paper was a high first round draft prospect until the combine.  Warrick measured out at 5' 11" but ran a rather pedestrian 4.6 in the 40-yard dash.  Instantly, his stocked dropped.  The Cincinnati Bengals did draft Warrick in the first round but he never blossomed on the professional level.

     Fast forward to 2006.  Vernon Davis, a beast of a tight end from Maryland was on the radar of every NFL scout, exploded onto the scene with a 4.38 40, the fastest time ever recorded for a tight end.  His reward? The 49ers selected Davis fifth and he received a multimillion-dollar signing bonus.  His future on field success is yet to be determined.

     The 40-yard dash doesn't measure intelligence, maturity, work ethic, character, heart, and raw football instincts, in fact I'd venture to say that some of the fastest players don't pan out, but like the SATs, its a standard, plain and simple. Watch the NFL scouting combine this weekend and when you see that cornerback blaze a 4.29 or a running back eek out a low 4.6 look at the expression on their faces.  You will see and understand that football really is a game of inches and seconds.

 
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